2024-12-14 00:37:20
Heavy news came from the National Development and Reform Commission.Judging from the content of the meeting, we need to focus on three aspects, one is to continue to boost consumption, the other is to promote the development of private economy, and the last is to develop high technology. Combined with the current market situation, it can be seen that the consumption line will continue. Even if the short-term increase is too large and there is adjustment, the high probability will not end here, because from the monthly trend of individual sectors, there is still room for further increase, but we need to remind everyone that when the short-term increase is too large and too fast, remember to stop and not be impulsive.The "Opinions" pointed out: enhance the awareness of young people to prepare for the old, and cultivate the concept of social public pension finance; Study and create special financial bonds for the aged and theme financial bonds for the aged, and the funds raised are mainly used in related fields for the aged; Expand the credit supply for the development of silver-haired economic business entities and industrial clusters; Support qualified listed silver-haired economic enterprises to refinance, merge and reorganize by issuing shares; Strengthen the design and investment management of pension financial products, and support long-term high-quality assets with matching pension financial product investment and pension characteristics; Guide financial institutions to increase support and accelerate the development of pension financial services.
Nine departments issued "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for Chinese-style Endowment Service for High-quality Development of Silver-haired Economy"The "Opinions" pointed out: enhance the awareness of young people to prepare for the old, and cultivate the concept of social public pension finance; Study and create special financial bonds for the aged and theme financial bonds for the aged, and the funds raised are mainly used in related fields for the aged; Expand the credit supply for the development of silver-haired economic business entities and industrial clusters; Support qualified listed silver-haired economic enterprises to refinance, merge and reorganize by issuing shares; Strengthen the design and investment management of pension financial products, and support long-term high-quality assets with matching pension financial product investment and pension characteristics; Guide financial institutions to increase support and accelerate the development of pension financial services.Judging from the content of the meeting, we need to focus on three aspects, one is to continue to boost consumption, the other is to promote the development of private economy, and the last is to develop high technology. Combined with the current market situation, it can be seen that the consumption line will continue. Even if the short-term increase is too large and there is adjustment, the high probability will not end here, because from the monthly trend of individual sectors, there is still room for further increase, but we need to remind everyone that when the short-term increase is too large and too fast, remember to stop and not be impulsive.
As for whether it will fall below the support of the lower rail, there is this possibility, but at present, the index is still a long way from the support below. Combined with the high-level statement, I think this possibility is relatively small at present, so there is no need to worry in advance. Let's take it one step at a time.At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.The central bank's statement shows that the exchange rate will not have room for further sharp depreciation, which can dispel the market's doubts. Judging from the recent exchange rate trend, it has kept a high level and fluctuated sideways. This week's closing did not fall below 7.26, so although it temporarily returned below 7.3, in fact, the depreciation trend in the medium term has not changed substantially. There is nothing to worry about in this position. In the future, we are optimistic about gradual appreciation, but the process will be slower.